نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشآموختهی دکتری مدیریت آموزشی، گروه علوم تربیتی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و تربیتی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تبریز، تبریز، ایران.
2 دانشیار گروه علوم تربیتی،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،واحد تبریز،تبریز،ایران
3 استادیار مدیریت آموزشی، گروه علوم تربیتی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و تربیتی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تبریز، تبریز، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Background and Objective: The aim of this study was to design an appropriate model for the professional development of primary school principals in the horizon of 2025 in the northwestern provinces of the Iran.
research methodology: This research is applied in terms of purpose and in terms of nature, is based on the new methods of futures scientific, analytical and exploratory methods that have been done using a combination of qualitative and quantitative models and in the form of documentary and survey methods and In four stages including coding the data using grounded theory, determining key indicators through Delphi method and panel of experts and identifying key drivers using Mic Mac software based on cross- impact analysis method and providing optimal scenarios using scenario Wizard software.
Findings: Finally, the results of using the cross-impact analysis method indicated that 15 key factors among the 52 factors identified in the interview stage, have the greatest impact on the future of professional development of Principals. In the following, these factors have been used as basic factors in Scenario Planning. In order to Scenario Writing at this stage, expert experts have been consulted and by summarizing them and preparing a portfolio of scenarios for these factors, 45 possible situations for 15 factors have been defined.
Conclusion: by analyzing the results of the scenario wizard, 11 strong scenarios for the professional development of school administrators in the horizon of 2025 were identified and 4 families of desirable scenarios were determined.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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